Quick answer: A sample space S is the set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment, and an event is any subset of S. If all outcomes are equally likely, the classical probability of an event E is . Probabilities lie between 0 and 1, and . Odds in favour of E are .
Key terms
| Term | Meaning | Example (one die) |
|---|---|---|
| Random experiment | Outcome cannot be predicted with certainty | Rolling a die |
| Sample space S | All possible outcomes | |
| Event | A subset of S | "Even number" |
| Simple event | Exactly one outcome | |
| Sure event | The whole of S | "Number ≤ 6" |
| Impossible event | The empty set | "Number 7" |
Types of events
| Type | Condition |
|---|---|
| Mutually exclusive | |
| Exhaustive | |
| Complementary | |
| Equally likely | Each has the same chance |
Events are sets, so the set operations apply directly: "A or B" is , "A and B" is .
Classical definition
| Property | Result |
|---|---|
| Range | |
| Sure event | |
| Impossible event | |
| Complement | |
| Odds in favour | |
| From odds a : b in favour |
Standard sample spaces
| Experiment | |
|---|---|
| n coins tossed | |
| n dice rolled | |
| One card from a pack | 52 |
| r cards from a pack |
A pack of 52 cards: 4 suits of 13 cards; 26 red and 26 black; 12 face cards (J, Q, K); 4 aces.
Sums with two dice:
| Sum | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ways | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Worked examples
Example 1: coins
Three coins are tossed. Find the probability of at least two heads.
Favourable: HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, so .
Example 2: two dice
Find the probability that the sum on two dice is 8.
From the table, 5 of 36 outcomes: .
Example 3: cards
Two cards are drawn from a pack. Find the probability that both are kings.
Example 4: complement
Find the probability of at least one six in 3 rolls of a die.
Example 5: odds
The odds in favour of an event are 3 : 5. Find its probability.
.
Summary table
| Idea | Key result |
|---|---|
| Classical probability | |
| Complement | |
| Odds a : b in favour | |
| n coins | outcomes |
| Two dice, sum 7 |
Exam tips
- "At least one" problems are almost always fastest with the complement.
- Use combinations () for drawing several objects at once; see combinations.
- Memorise the two-dice sum table.
Next, read the addition theorem of probability, or see the NIMCET Probability and Statistics chapter.
Common mistakes
- Using the classical formula when outcomes are not equally likely.
- Counting HT and TH as one outcome.
- Confusing odds with probability.
- Forgetting that a pack has 12 face cards, not 16 (aces are not face cards).
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the classical definition of probability?
P(E) = n(E)/n(S), the number of favourable outcomes divided by the total number of equally likely outcomes.
What is a sample space?
The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment.
What are mutually exclusive events?
Events that cannot happen together, so A ∩ B = φ.
How do you convert odds to probability?
If the odds in favour are a : b, the probability is a/(a + b).
What is the probability of getting a sum of 7 with two dice?
It is 6/36 = 1/6.